EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2

Judith Giles and Cara Williams
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Judith Anne Clarke ()

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2001, vol. 9, issue 4, 445-470

Abstract: This paper continues the investigation of Giles and Williams (2000) on export-led growth (ELG). In the first part, we surveyed the empirical export-led growth literature; it was evident that Granger non-causality tests are commonly applied as a test for ELG. In this paper, we explore the sensitivity of the test for exclusions restrictions often used as the Granger non-causality test for ELG by reconsidering two applications: Oxley's (1993) study for Portugal and Henriques and Sadorsky's (1996) analysis for Canada. We focus on the robustness of the method adopted to deal with non-stationarity, including the choice of deterministic trend degree. We show that different noncausality outcomes are easy to obtain, and consequently we recommend that readers interpret the empirical ELG literature with care. Our analysis also highlights the importance of examining the robustness of Granger non-causality test results to avoid spurious outcomes in applications.

Keywords: Economic Growth; Causality; Time Series Models; Robustness; Misspecification; Model Dimension; Cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/096381900750056867 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
Working Paper: Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 1 (2000) Downloads
Working Paper: Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 2 (2000) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:9:y:2001:i:4:p:445-470

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RJTE20

DOI: 10.1080/096381900750056867

Access Statistics for this article

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development is currently edited by Pasquale Sgro, David E.A. Giles and Charles van Marrewijk

More articles in The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().

 
Page updated 2021-10-12
Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:9:y:2001:i:4:p:445-470