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Estimation and Inference of FAVAR Models

Jushan Bai, Kunpeng Li and Lina Lu

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2016, vol. 34, issue 4, 620-641

Abstract: The factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model is now widely used in macroeconomics and finance. In this model, observable and unobservable factors jointly follow a vector autoregressive process, which further drives the comovement of a large number of observable variables. We study the identification restrictions for FAVAR models, and propose a likelihood-based two-step method to estimate the model. The estimation explicitly accounts for factors being partially observed. We then provide an inferential theory for the estimated factors, factor loadings, and the dynamic parameters in the VAR process. We show how and why the limiting distributions are different from the existing results. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (39)

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Working Paper: Estimation and inference of FAVAR models (2014) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2015.1111222

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