Volatility and Volume in Chinese Stock Markets

Laurence Copeland () and Biqiong Zhang

Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 2003, vol. 1, issue 3, 287-300

Abstract: The fact that stock market returns in Europe and the USA are characterised by conditional heteroscedasticity is by now well documented in a large literature. We address the question of whether the same is true of the four Chinese stock markets (Shanghai and Shenzhen A and B) over the period from 25 November 1994 to 27 April 2001. Using daily index data, we make two departures from the standard GARCH(1,1) model. First, we use exponential GARCH (EGARCH) to allow for asymmetry in the volatility, which may be present as a result of leverage effects. Second, we respond to evidence of two-way causality between volume and return (and return volatility) by introducing a simultaneous equation model of the relationship. The results of estimating the model indicate that asymmetry does not seem to be present to a significant degree, possibly as a result of lack of information or concern among Chinese investors. We find that volume appears to play a significant part in determining index volatility, which may reflect information arrival effects or may alternatively result from the direct impact of trading on volatility. At the same time, we also find that both the level of returns and their conditional variance have an impact on trade volume, probably because positive (negative) returns tend to attract (deter) investors into the markets.

Keywords: JEL Classifications: C3; G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1476528032000108562 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:jocebs:v:1:y:2003:i:3:p:287-300

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RCEA20

DOI: 10.1080/1476528032000108562

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies is currently edited by Professor Xiaming Liu

More articles in Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().