Bootstrap procedures for variance breaks test in time series with a changing trend
Hao Jin,
Si Zhang,
Jinsuo Zhang and
Shougang Zhang
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2018, vol. 47, issue 18, 4609-4627
Abstract:
In this article, we consider the problem of testing for variance breaks in time series in the presence of a changing trend. In performing the test, we employ the cumulative sum of squares (CUSSQ) test introduced by Inclán and Tiao (1994, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 89, 913 − 923). It is shown that CUSSQ test is not robust in the case of broken trend and its asymptotic distribution does not convergence to the sup of a standard Brownian bridge. As a remedy, a bootstrap approximation method is designed to alleviate the size distortions of test statistic while preserving its high power. Via a bootstrap functional central limit theorem, the consistency of these bootstrap procedures is established under general assumptions. Simulation results are provided for illustration and an empirical example of application to a set of high frequency real data is given.
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:lstaxx:v:47:y:2018:i:18:p:4609-4627
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DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2017.1377256
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