The effects of “economic crisis” and “financial crisis” searches conducted in google on dollar/TL parity and a causality analysis

Yüksel Akay Ünvan

Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2021, vol. 50, issue 7, 1587-1598

Abstract: The increase of dollar parity in the short term in Turkey has brought the need to conduct research about the reasons of this situation. Google, which is a very common application for search, is considered as a platform for those who wonder about it. Therefore, it is also a matter of curiosity that the searches will have an impact on the dollar/TL parity or the dollar/TL parity will have an impact on the searches. This work has been carried out to determine the relationship between the “economic crisis” searches made in Turkey, “economic crisis” and “financial crisis” searches made in the world, and the dollar/TL parity. The number of searches for “economic crisis” made in Turkey, and the number of searches for “economic crisis” and “financial crisis” made in the world, and dollar/TL parity values are used as variables in the application part. Google Trends application was used to find the search numbers. The daily search numbers and dollar/TL parity between the dates of January 1, 2018 and March 22, 2019 were used. Finally, it was aimed to examine the causality relationship between the variables and find out whether they trigger each other or not.

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2019.1678645

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