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Sustainability of basket peg choices in the post-COVID-19 era: new evidence from Morocco & Tunisia

Hamza Bouhali, Ahmed Dahbani and Brahim Dinar

Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 2022, vol. 15, issue 1, 66-85

Abstract: This article aims to study the impact of peg structure on volatility behaviour and crisis vulnerability, considering the COVID-19 economic context. We adopt a comparative analysis of volatility behaviour using GARCH family models and the ICSS Algorithm for the cases of Morocco and Tunisia. Our main finding is that peg characteristics aren’t the unique parameters impacting volatility behaviour and the exposition to the crisis. Furthermore, we detect different variations in volatility parameters as a result of the contrasting economic contexts and COVID-19 economic fallouts. Finally, we present some interesting policy implications, and we suggest some leads for future research.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2020.1819846

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