Exploring vessel-price dynamics: the case of the dry bulk market

Anna Merika, Andreas Merikas, Mike Tsionas and Andreas Andrikopoulos

Maritime Policy & Management, 2019, vol. 46, issue 3, 309-329

Abstract: We investigate second-hand vessel price heterogeneity. Based on a sample of 5,591 purchase and sale transactions in the dry bulk sector over the period 1998–2016, we deploy a nonparametric regression technique to assess the determinants of vessel price and vessel price variability. Next, we use quantile regression to estimate the effect of regressors (sources of heterogeneity) at different parts of the vessel price distribution. We find evidence that main sources of vessel price heterogeneity are the age of the ship (the older the vessel the higher its maintenance cost), the 3-month LIBOR (reflecting the cost of financing) and the annual charter rate (revenues from operation). Their influence is stronger at all higher quantiles (periods of expansion) and the median of the vessel price distribution.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2018.1562246

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