Estimating the True Incidence of Rubella

Marcos Amaku and Raymundo Azevedo

Mathematical Population Studies, 2010, vol. 17, issue 2, 91-100

Abstract: The true incidence of infectious diseases is difficult to determine from surveillance or from notification data. The proportion of new infections of rubella yields a model from serological surveys. The discrepancy between results and official notification data before vaccination era leads one to suspect the presence of hidden infections. Simulation on 80% of effective vaccination coverage shows a similar discrepancy of the total number of infections compared to notification data.

Keywords: incidence; rubella; seroprevalence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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DOI: 10.1080/08898481003689502

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