Chinese Economic Statistics--Caveat Emptor!

Friedrich Wu

Post-Communist Economies, 2003, vol. 15, issue 1, 127-145

Abstract: The Chinese government admitted in late 2001 that its statistical system was plagued with flaws. This has revived the age-old question of whether China's reported rate of growth is real. Some analysts have long argued that China's real GDP growth figures have been inflated, often because of false reporting by localities and systemic statistical distortions. This article highlights indicators which have shown signs of being questionable: gross domestic product (GDP), bilateral trade, unemployment, non-performing loans (NPLs) and FDI and capital flight. Reforms are now being undertaken, but while the long-term trend is positive, one should still exercise great caution when using Chinese statistics.

Date: 2003
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DOI: 10.1080/1463137032000058421

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