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Asymptotics of the probability of minimizing 'down-side' risk under partial information

Hideo Nagai

Quantitative Finance, 2011, vol. 11, issue 5, 789-803

Abstract: We consider minimizing the probability of falling below a target growth rate of the wealth process up to a time horizon T in an incomplete market model under partial information and then study the asymptotic behavior of the minimizing probability as T → ∞. This problem is closely related to an ergodic risk-sensitive stochastic control problem under partial information in the risk-averse case. Indeed, in our main theorem we relate the former problem to the latter as its dual. As a result we obtain an explicit expression for the limit value of the former problem in the case of linear Gaussian models.

Keywords: Multi-factor models; Stochastic analysis; Stochastic control; Downside risk; Portfolio management; Dynamic programming; Mathematics of finance; Kalnman filters (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.1080/14697680903341814

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