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Limited information-processing capacity and asymmetric stock correlations

Ozcan Ceylan

Quantitative Finance, 2015, vol. 15, issue 6, 1031-1039

Abstract: Through an orthogonalized impulse-response analysis, I studied the relationship between the variance risk premium, market variance and stock correlations in the French stock market from September 2002 through September 2006, using high-frequency data-based measures. Variance risk premium is estimated using realized variances and index options-implied variances and used as a state vector to proxy investors perceived uncertainty. I found that a shock to variance risk premium causes long-lasting increases in the market variance pointing to the limitedness of investors information-processing capacity. At the same time, the shock generates consecutive increases in realized correlations between individual stocks and the market portfolio. I propose this as a possible explanation for the asymmetric/counter-cyclic behaviour of stock correlations.

Date: 2015
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Working Paper: Limited Information-Processing Capacity and Asymmetric Stock Correlations (2010) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2013.808374

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