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Computing the survival probability in the Madan–Unal credit risk model: application to the CDS market

Luca Vincenzo Ballestra, Graziella Pacelli and Davide Radi ()

Quantitative Finance, 2017, vol. 17, issue 2, 299-313

Abstract: We obtain a quasi-analytical approximation of the survival probability in the credit risk model proposed in [Madan, D.B. and Unal, H., Pricing the risk of default. Rev. Deriv. Res., 1998, 2(2), 121–160]. Such a formula, which extensive numerical simulations reveal to be accurate and computationally fast, can also be employed for pricing credit default swaps (CDSs). Specifically, we derive a quasi-analytical approximate expression for CDS par spreads, and we use it to estimate the parameters of the model. The results obtained show a rather satisfactory agreement between theoretical and real market data.

Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2016.1189590

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