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Leveraging a call-put ratio as a trading signal

Patrick Houlihan and German Creamer

Quantitative Finance, 2019, vol. 19, issue 5, 763-777

Abstract: We examine whether a put-call ratio, derived from a unique set of market data, can be used to predict directional moves in asset prices during various market conditions between March 2005 and December 2012. Our findings show: (1) specific market participant's options trading volume is a predecessor to asset price movements, and (2) portfolios based on the put-call ratio adjusted for four factors Carhart model and transaction costs exhibit abnormal excess returns.

Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2018.1538563

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