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Conditional risk-return relationship in a time-varying beta model

Peng Huang () and C. Hueng

Quantitative Finance, 2008, vol. 8, issue 4, 381-390

Abstract: We investigate the asymmetric risk-return relationship in a time-varying beta CAPM. A state space model is established and estimated by the Adaptive Least Squares with Kalman foundations proposed by McCulloch. Using S&P 500 daily data from 1987:11-2003:12, we find a positive risk-return relationship in the up market (positive market excess returns) and a negative relationship in the down market (negative market excess returns). This supports the argument of Pettengill et al., who use a constant beta model. However, our model outperforms theirs by eliminating the unexplained returns and improving the accuracy of the estimated risk price.

Keywords: Capital asset pricing; Time varying parameter models; Asymmetric risk-return relationship (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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DOI: 10.1080/14697680701191361

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