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VaR and expected shortfall: a non-normal regime switching framework

Robert Elliott and Hong Miao

Quantitative Finance, 2009, vol. 9, issue 6, 747-755

Abstract: We have developed a regime switching framework to compute the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall measures. Although Value at Risk as a risk measure has been criticized by some researchers for lack of subadditivity, it is still a central tool in banking regulations and internal risk management in the finance industry. In contrast, Expected Shortfall is coherent and convex, so it is a better measure of risk than Value at Risk. Expected Shortfall is widely used in the insurance industry and has the potential to replace Value at Risk as a standard risk measure in the near future. We have proposed regime switching models to measure value at risk and expected shortfall for a single financial asset as well as financial portfolios. Our models capture the volatility clustering phenomenon and variance-independent variation in the higher moments by assuming the returns follow Student-t distributions.

Keywords: Asset pricing; Capital structure; Corporate finance; Copulas (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1080/14697680902849320

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