The effect of real exchange rate uncertainty on Turkey’s foreign trade: new evidences from SVAR model

Nezir Köse and Çağlayan Aslan

Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, 2023, vol. 30, issue 2, 553-567

Abstract: In this study, the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and Turkey’s foreign trade performance is analyzed using monthly data from 2002:01 to 2017:12 via Structural VAR (SVAR) model. The empirical results indicate that domestic income and import have more impact on Turkey’s export. Moreover, domestic income, exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainty are effective on Turkey’s import. These results imply that Turkey’s export is dependent on imported inputs more than the exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainties.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/16081625.2020.1808798

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Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics is currently edited by Yin-Wong Cheung, Hong Hwang, Jeong-Bon Kim, Shu-Hsing Li and Suresh Radhakrishnan

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