England's Rural Futures: A Socio-Geographical Approach to Scenarios Analysis

Philip Lowe and Neil Ward

Regional Studies, 2009, vol. 43, issue 10, 1319-1332

Abstract: Lowe P. and Ward N. England's rural futures: a socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis, Regional Studies . The paper reports on an exercise to generate alternative future scenarios for rural England through a statistical approach set in a firm conceptual framework. It identifies predominant contemporary trends affecting England's rural areas, geographically differentiates them, and projects them forward using formal modelling. The resultant set of twenty-year future scenarios for the English countryside, intended to help stimulate public debate on rural futures, is presented and discussed. The analysis suggests that in-migrant commuters and retirees are likely to be the major forces impacting on rural social geography in the future.

Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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DOI: 10.1080/00343400903365169

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