Are Regional Elections really ‘Second-Order’ Elections?

Arjan H. Schakel and Charlie Jeffery

Regional Studies, 2013, vol. 47, issue 3, 323-341

Abstract: Schakel A. H. and Jeffery C. Are regional elections really ‘second-order’ elections, Regional Studies . This article critically assesses the applicability of the second-order election model to regional elections. It offers first a critique of the second-order election model, arguing that the model has imported an inappropriate ‘nationalizing’ bias into the study of regional elections. Second, the article conducts an empirical analysis that shows that second-order election predictions do not appear to hold for regional elections which take place (1) in political settings where regional elections do not have the potential to signal a future alternation of government at the national level; (2) in authoritative, powerful regions; and (3) in regions where non-state-wide parties compete in regional elections.

Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2012.690069

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