Explaining Interregional Migration Changes in China, 1985-2000, Using a Decomposition Approach

Jianfa Shen

Regional Studies, 2015, vol. 49, issue 7, 1176-1192

Abstract: S hen J. Explaining interregional migration changes in China, 1985-2000, using a decomposition approach, Regional Studies . This paper estimates the effects of changing parameters in migration models and the changing demographic, social, and economic attributes in origin and destinations on migration flows. A decomposition approach is developed based on multilevel Poisson migration models. Multilevel Poisson migration models are estimated for migration in China for the periods 1985-1990 and 1995-2000. Overall, the total inter-provincial migration was increased by 22 million in China from 1985-1990 to 1995-2000. The decomposition result shows that 62.28% of this increase was due to changes in the value of explanatory variables, while 37.72% was due to changes in the value of model parameters.

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2013.812783

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