Regional Migration, Growth and Convergence – A Spatial Dynamic Panel Model of Germany

Alexander Kubis and Lutz Schneider

Regional Studies, 2016, vol. 50, issue 11, 1789-1803

Abstract: Kubis A. and Schneider L. Regional migration, growth and convergence – a spatial dynamic panel model of Germany, Regional Studies. This paper empirically analyses the question of how regional migration affects regional convergence and growth in post-reunification Germany. Addressing the endogeneity of migration and human capital, a dynamic panel data model within the framework of β-convergence is applied, accounting for spatial effects. The regressions indicate that out-migration has a negative but modest effect on regional growth; the expected effect of skill selection is only partly confirmed. In the East German subsample, in-migration increases growth independently of its human capital effect; in West Germany, in-migration lowers growth per se, but this negative impact is offset by the growth-stimulating forces of migrants’ skills.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2015.1059932

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