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On the Link between Policy Uncertainty and House Prices: Asymmetric Evidence from State-Level Data in the United States

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, Radames Azaryan and Seyed Hesam Ghodsi

Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, 2021, vol. 27, issue 2, 166-185

Abstract: A previous study in this journal assessed the short-run and long-run effects of policy uncertainty on house prices using data from each state of the United States. By assuming the effects to be symmetric, the study revealed short-run effects in 24 states and long-run effects in 17. When we assume the effects to be asymmetric and estimate a nonlinear model for each state, we show short-run asymmetric effects in 32 states and long-run asymmetric effects in 24 states. The increase in number of states from the linear model to nonlinear model is attributed to nonlinear adjustment of policy uncertainty.

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/10835547.2021.1986348

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