Financial cointegration and spillover effect of global financial crisis: a study of emerging Asian financial markets

Saqib Gulzar, Ghulam Mujtaba Kayani, Hui Xiaofeng, Usman Ayub and Amir Rafique

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 2019, vol. 32, issue 1, 187-218

Abstract: This paper examines the financial cointegration and spillover effect of the global financial crisis to emerging Asian financial markets (India, China, Pakistan, Malaysia, Russia and Korea). The analysis used daily stock returns, divided into three time periods: pre-, during and post-crisis from 1 July 2005 to 30 June 2015. We applied the Johansen and Juselius cointegration test, the vector error correction model (V.E.C.M.) and the G.A.R.C.H.-B.E.K.K. model for an examination of integration and conditional volatility. We find long-term cointegration between the U.S. market and emerging stock markets, and the level of cointegration increased after the crisis period. The V.E.C.M. and impulse response function reveal that a shock in the U.S. financial market has a short-term impact on the returns of emerging financial markets. Past shocks and volatility have more effect on the selected stock markets during all time periods. The Korea Composite Stock Price Index and the Bombay stock exchange (B.S.E.) are the only stock markets that have cross-market news and volatility spillover effects during the crisis period. After the crisis period, news effects are positive on the B.S.E. and the Russian Trading System and have a negative effecton the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange and the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

Date: 2019
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1550001 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:32:y:2019:i:1:p:187-218

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/rero20

DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2018.1550001

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja is currently edited by Marinko Skare

More articles in Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().