The asymmetric contagion effect from the U.S. stock market around the subprime crisis between 2007 and 2010

Yu-Sheng Kao, Kai Zhao, Yu-Cheng Ku and Chien-Chung Nieh

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 2019, vol. 32, issue 1, 2422-2454

Abstract: This study employed Enders and Siklos asymmetric co-integration frameworks, including the momentum threshold autoregressive (M-TAR) and logistic smooth transition co-integration (LSTC) models, to investigate whether contagion effects had existed in international stock markets by using the changes in the asymmetric co-integration relationships between the U.S. S&P 500 Index and a total of 23 markets in Asia, Europe, and America during the subprime crisis. The main findings demonstrated that the subprime crisis did not reinforce co-movement trends between the S&P 500 Index and these stock markets, by the application of the Engle-Granger (1987) symmetric co-integration test. However, with the application of the asymmetric co-integration frameworks, both M-TAR and LSTC showed there existed contagion effects between them in the aftermath of Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy in 2008; transition speeds between these two regimes also substantially increased in the LSTC during the financial crisis. Only the Chinese market was not affected by the U.S. market during this crisis; only an interdependence effect existed between the U.S. and China. The subprime crisis determined the degree of contagion, depending on the financial linkage to the U.S. market, which further demonstrates the differences in the causes and influence between the subprime crisis and other financial crises in emerging markets.

Date: 2019
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1645710 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:32:y:2019:i:1:p:2422-2454

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/rero20

DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2019.1645710

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja is currently edited by Marinko Skare

More articles in Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().