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Impacts of flexible exchange rates and government debt on output

Yu Hsing

Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2004, vol. 9, issue 1, 1-9

Abstract: Based on the IS-LM model and applying the GARCH(m, n) process, the author finds that the depreciation of the Thai baht, more government taxes, or higher domestic debt are expected to reduce real GDP and that an increase in government spending, real quantity of money, world output or foreign debt are expected to raise real output. Therefore, the positive benefits of baht depreciation are outweighed by negative impacts. The negative impact of domestic debt suggests that the government should pursue a responsible fiscal policy in the long run. The VAR model is applied to estimate impulse response functions to trace the shocks of these variables on real GDP.

Date: 2004
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DOI: 10.1080/13547860310001628267

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