Assessing the Historical Water Flow Allocation in the Lower Rio Grande between Mexico and the United States

Vicente German-Soto ()

Journal of Borderlands Studies, 2014, vol. 29, issue 2, 275-289

Abstract: Allocation of water resources between Mexico and the United States is a sensitive agenda in the lower Rio Grande, mainly in stages of hard drought. It has allowed surface water allocation practices to evolve and continue to be refined. This work applies the cointegration theory on historical data of water flows with the aim of showing empirical evidence on volumes of water running along the lower Rio Grande. The analysis suggests that misleading conclusions can be obtained about water distribution if the presence of structural breaks is not taken into account when assessing the fulfillment of contracts. The estimations indicate that water flows have not been constant over time; nevertheless, this pattern seems to respond to external events such as changes in the treaties, drought stages, and infrastructure conditions that possibly altered the water flows. After one structural break is controlled for, it is possible to determine that water volumes were according with the laws during 1933-2004.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1080/08865655.2014.915702

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