Tenant Industry Sector and European Listed Real Estate Performance

Jan Muckenhaupt, Martin Hoesli and Bing Zhu

Journal of Real Estate Research, 2023, vol. 45, issue 4, 485-510

Abstract: This paper extends the empirical evidence on the relationship between the performance of public real estate companies (PRECs) and the industrial sector of their tenants. By investigating the performance of a large sample of European real estate firms from 2010 to 2019 and information pertaining to the firms’ tenants, we find that the systematic risk in the tenants’ industry sectors is capitalized in real estate company equity returns. Our results remain robust after correcting for stock beta modifications, tenant sector alpha, tenant anchor effects, and other tenant characteristics. We consider a hypothetical trading strategy that assumes a long position on PRECs whose occupier base is dominated by tenants belonging to riskier sectors, while the trading strategy shortens PRECs whose tenants belong to less risky sectors. The adoption of this strategy yields benchmark-adjusted annual returns of 3.68%.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/08965803.2023.2196181

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