Another Look at the Role of Borrower Characteristics in Predicting Mortgage Prepayments

Michael LaCour-Little

Journal of Housing Research, 1999, vol. 10, issue 1, 45-60

Abstract: Mortgage prepayments are made for many different reasons, and research has been hampered by the inability to distinguish among those reasons for prepayment. In this article, I report results of a loan-level model where full information is available: namely, when the borrower refinances a mortgage with the same lender. With access to detailed loan-level data, the role of a number of loan and borrower characteristics can be examined.After eliminating borrower mobility and liquidity demand factors, inclusion of loan and borrower characteristics unambiguously increases model explanatory power. But changes in predicted prepayment probabilities are most pronounced when the prepayment option is at-the-money. When the option is deeply in- or out-of-the money, borrower characteristics have little influence. This article presents the first major empirical investigation of "pure" refinancing behavior, while explicitly incorporating current actual borrower credit score and estimated current loan-to-value ratio as potentially limiting constraints.

Date: 1999
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10835547.1999.12091944 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:rjrhxx:v:10:y:1999:i:1:p:45-60

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/rjrh20

DOI: 10.1080/10835547.1999.12091944

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Housing Research is currently edited by Kimberly Goodwin

More articles in Journal of Housing Research from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().