Female unemployment in Lebanon: a time series analysis

Casto Montero Kuscevic

Middle East Development Journal, 2020, vol. 12, issue 2, 268-283

Abstract: This research investigates the relationship between output and unemployment for Lebanon for the post-civil war period. Surprisingly, our results show that unemployment is not contemporaneously affected by changes in gross domestic product (i.e. no Okun’s Law), but only after a lag; however, in the long-run total unemployment and male unemployment are inversely related to changes in output. A puzzling result is the unresponsiveness of female unemployment to GDP both in the short run and in the long-run. Using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach, we try to shed some lights to explain this irregularity.

Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1080/17938120.2020.1756097

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