The determinants of voting for Islamists in Egypt’s first post-revolution elections 2011–2012

May Attallah

Middle East Development Journal, 2017, vol. 9, issue 2, 184-197

Abstract: This paper studies empirically the voting outcomes for the first post-revolution presidential elections in Egypt. In the light of strong success of the Islamist candidate, Mohamed Morsi, I identify three dimensions which can affect voting outcomes: human capital stock, wealth and employment structure. I find that less educated, poorer and more unequal districts support more Islamists. I also find an effect of the employment structure of a district on voting. I test the results by comparing the determinants of voting outcomes of the presidential elections to those of the 2011 and 2012 constitutional referendums.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1080/17938120.2017.1369787

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