Performance metrics to predict national-level competition outcomes in a cluster of road cyclists

Leonardo Cesanelli, Juan Antonio Fernandez Lopez, Thomas Lagoute, Berta Ylaite and Arvydas Stasiulis

International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 2024, vol. 24, issue 4, 361-373

Abstract: Quantifying the pivotal elements that contribute to success in cycling and their strength, is of paramount importance in the formulation of sound and effective training regimens. Here we evaluated the power and differences of distinct performance indicators in predicting cycling competition outcomes. A total of 38 competitive male Lithuanian cyclists participated in this study, engaging in a maximal incremental exercise test, a cycling efficiency protocol, and a maximal sprint performance evaluation, from which multiple performance variables were derived. The cyclists were involved in two distinct competitions, where completion average speed and power profiles underwent analysis. Qualitative visual assessment was also employed to explore supplementary performance dimensions within these competitions. Notably, the principal explanatory variables for the two competitions were peak oxygen consumption relative to body mass (r = 0.74, p 0.05). In conclusion, this study profiled Lithuanian cyclists, revealing power and differences among various performance metrics in predicting outcomes in diverse competitions. The comprehensive methodology highlighted the advantages of evaluating competition results, offering insights for improved training and tailored performance assessments.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/24748668.2023.2300574

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