Survival and sex composition of offspring: Individual-level responses in the quantum and tempo of childbearing during the demographic transition

Mark Gortfelder and Allan Puur

Population Studies, 2020, vol. 74, issue 2, 161-177

Abstract: Previous studies have documented varying fertility responses to childhood mortality and to the sex composition of the surviving offspring during the demographic transition. We contribute to this literature by applying a mixture cure model to reproductive histories of Estonian women born 1850–99. This model, unlike standard event history models, is capable of separating the effect of the covariates on the propensity of having another birth from their effect on its timing. Child fatalities, not having sons, and to a smaller extent, not having daughters, increased the propensity to have another child and decreased the interval to it. The response was stronger among later cohorts, but only with respect to parity progression. By contrast, the accelerated childbearing response diminished over time. Our findings suggest that behavioural responses in the quantum and tempo of childbearing can occur relatively independently.

Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2020.1721736

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