Intergenerational risk sharing in pay-as-you-go pension schemes*

Hélène Morsomme, Jennifer Alonso-García and Pierre Devolder

Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2025, vol. 2025, issue 4, 404-432

Abstract: Population ageing undermines traditional social security pension systems that combine pay-as-you-go and defined benefits (DB). Indeed, demographic risk, if guaranteed benefits remain unaltered, will be borne entirely by workers through increases in the contribution rate. To avoid a substantial increase of the contributions and in order to maintain simultaneously the financial sustainability and the social adequacy of the public pension system, risk sharing and automatic balancing mechanisms need to be put in place. We present a two-step convex family of risk-sharing mechanisms. The first shares the risk between contributors and retirees through adjustments in the contribution rate, used to calculate the global covered wage bill, and the benefit ratio that represents the relationship between average pensions and wages. The second step studies how the retirees' risk should be shared between the different retirees' generations through adjustments in the replacement rate and a sustainability factor that affects pension indexation during retirement. We perform a detailed study of the effect of social planner's targets and solidarity weight between various generations in a deterministic and stochastic environment.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2024.2427229

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