Climate-related natural disasters and forced migration: a spatial regression analysis

Caterina Conigliani, Valeria Costantini and Giulia Finardi

Spatial Economic Analysis, 2022, vol. 17, issue 3, 416-439

Abstract: We investigate the role of spatial effects in the analysis of the relationship between climate-related disasters and forced migration. As a case study we select South and Southeast Asia due to the area’s large exposure to these hazards. The spatial regressions show that short- to medium-distance forced migrations are considerably affected by climate-related disasters, independently of the economic expectation associated with the destination. Moreover, we find that this relationship is disaster-type specific. Finally, we detect a competition among migrants, as the decision to move as an adaptation strategy is found to be dependent on the migratory behaviour of neighbouring countries.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2021.1995620

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