EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

An empirical study of demand forecasting of non-volatile memory for smart production of semiconductor manufacturing

Ying-Jen Chen and Chen-Fu Chien

International Journal of Production Research, 2018, vol. 56, issue 13, 4629-4643

Abstract: As high-speed computing is crucial to empower intelligent manufacturing for Industry 4.0, non-volatile memory (NVM) is critical semiconductor component of the cloud and data centre for the infrastructures. The NVM manufacturing is capital intensive, in which capacity utilisation significantly affects the capital effectiveness and profitability of semiconductor companies. Since capacity migration and expansion involve long lead times, demand forecasting plays a critical role for smart production of NVM manufacturers for revenue management. However, the shortening product life cycles of integrated circuits (IC), the fluctuations of semiconductor supply chains, and uncertainty involved in demand forecasting make the present problem increasingly difficult in the consumer electronics era. Focusing on the realistic needs of NVM demand forecasting, this study aims to develop a decision framework that integrates an improved technology diffusion model and a proposed adjustment mechanism to incorporate domain insights. An empirical study was conducted in a leading semiconductor company for validation. A comparison of alternative approaches is also provided. The results have shown the practical viability of the proposed approach.

Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00207543.2017.1421783 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:tprsxx:v:56:y:2018:i:13:p:4629-4643

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/TPRS20

DOI: 10.1080/00207543.2017.1421783

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Production Research is currently edited by Professor A. Dolgui

More articles in International Journal of Production Research from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-20
Handle: RePEc:taf:tprsxx:v:56:y:2018:i:13:p:4629-4643