System dynamics modelling for supply chain disruptions

Jessica Olivares-Aguila and Waguih ElMaraghy

International Journal of Production Research, 2021, vol. 59, issue 6, 1757-1775

Abstract: Unexpected events or black swan events could highly deteriorate supply chain performance. Hence, proactive and reactive strategies should be considered when planning for disruptions in a multi-echelon supply chain. In this study, a system dynamics framework is introduced to observe the supply chain behaviour and evaluate the impacts of disruptions. The model enables the examination of full and partial disruptions and the incorporation of expediting orders after a disturbance. The effects of disruptions on the service levels, costs, profits and inventory levels, of the supply chain are analysed. The usage of the framework and the findings can serve to define disruption policies, and assist in the decisions relating to the supply chain design. After running several scenarios, it was determined that the disruptions happening in the downstream levels have more impacts on the SC performance than the disruptions in the upstream levels. Hence, the disruption policies for the downstream levels should have higher priority. Moreover, the results suggest that expediting after disruptions do not offer benefits to the long-term supply chain performance.

Date: 2021
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00207543.2020.1725171 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:tprsxx:v:59:y:2021:i:6:p:1757-1775

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/TPRS20

DOI: 10.1080/00207543.2020.1725171

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Production Research is currently edited by Professor A. Dolgui

More articles in International Journal of Production Research from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().