Navigating a fad or the future? Opportunities and limitations in integrating carshare membership and automated vehicle propensity in travel demand forecasting

Eric Petersen and Matthias Sweet

Transportation Planning and Technology, 2021, vol. 44, issue 3, 223-245

Abstract: New mobility services, including carsharing and automated vehicles (AVs), are changing mobility. Gathering evidence on the prospective adoption and uncertainty surrounding new technologies is critical, but technological changes outpace the speed with which planners can inform policy. This study demonstrates the feasibility of bridging planners’ programming and experimentation responsibilities in navigating uncertainty by developing forecasting tools which account for new technologies and fuse data from a large-scale Canadian household travel survey, the Transportation Tomorrow Survey (2016), with a one-time, internet-based survey with questions related to new mobility services. This study uses a fused nested logit model to explore the characteristics of consumers with propensities towards AV ownership and carshare membership in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area. Findings indicate joint effects of these two technologies. This approach of utilizing smaller-scale, issue-focused surveys in conjunction with traditional regional household travel surveys offers significant potential for planners to prepare more nimbly for uncertainty.

Date: 2021
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03081060.2021.1883225 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:transp:v:44:y:2021:i:3:p:223-245

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/GTPT20

DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2021.1883225

Access Statistics for this article

Transportation Planning and Technology is currently edited by Dr. David Gillingwater

More articles in Transportation Planning and Technology from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().