On a Risk Model With Dual Seasonalities

Yang Miao, Kristina P. Sendova and Bruce L. Jones

North American Actuarial Journal, 2023, vol. 27, issue 1, 166-184

Abstract: We consider a risk model where both the premium income and the claim process have seasonal fluctuations. We obtain the probability of ruin based on the simulation approach presented in Morales. We also discuss the conditions that must be satisfied for this approach to work. We give both a numerical example that is based on a simulation study and an example using a real-life auto insurance data set. Various properties of this risk model are also discussed and compared with the existing literature.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/10920277.2022.2068611

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