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Evaluating Spending Policies in a Low-Return Environment

Peng Wang, Laura Chapman, Steven Peterson and Jon Spinney

Financial Analysts Journal, 2018, vol. 74, issue 4, 11-23

Abstract: For an endowment seeking to minimize payout variability while preserving the long-run health of the institution, appropriate spending policy is a crucial choice. We study two competing methods for setting spending policy—the “moving-average” method and the “snake-in-the-tunnel” (SIT) approach. We show that the SIT approach may significantly decrease the possibility of spending reductions in the short run. Additionally, the SIT approach with 3%–7% bands allows for a smooth evolution of payouts over time, which enhances spending predictability while preserving the endowment’s real (inflation-adjusted) long-run purchasing power. Disclosure: The authors report no conflicts of interest. Editor’s Note Submitted 13 October 2017 Accepted 12 April 2018 by Stephen J. Brown

Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.2469/faj.v74.n4.1

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