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Third-Country Exchange Rate Volatility and Pakistan-U.S. Trade at Commodity Level

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee (), Misbah Nosheen and Javed Iqbal

The International Trade Journal, 2017, vol. 31, issue 2, 105-129

Abstract: We add to the literature on the “Third-Country” effect by assessing the impact of rupee-dollar volatility on 116 U.S. industries that export to Pakistan and 53 U.S. industries that import from Pakistan. As two measures of “Third-Country” effects, we include volatility measures of rupee-yuan and dollar-yuan rates due to the increased role of China in the global economy. We find evidence of “Third-Country” effects in more than half of the industries. Among affected industries are many of the large U.S. exporting industries, but not large U.S. importing industries.

Date: 2017
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