Does Drug Trafficking Impact Terrorism? Afghan Opioids and Terrorist Violence in Central Asia

Mariya Y. Omelicheva and Lawrence Markowitz

Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 2019, vol. 42, issue 12, 1021-1043

Abstract: The relationship between drug trafficking and terrorism remains a contentious issue. While some assert that drug trafficking is a strong predictor of terrorism, others contest this observation. This study focuses on the impact of the Afghan opioid trade on terrorist violence in Central Asia, a region of drug transit states. We employ Geographic Information Systems–enabled visualizations of the drug trade and terrorism as well as statistical tests to study the drug–terror relationship at the subnational level. Our findings lend support to the argument that the drug trade facilitates terrorism, but we also find that the drug–terror relationship is multifaceted, complex, and intimately linked to the state.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/1057610X.2018.1434039

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