War-related excess mortality in The Netherlands, 1944–45: New estimates of famine- and non-famine-related deaths from national death records

Peter Ekamper, Govert Bijwaard, Frans van Poppel and L. H. Lumey

Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, 2017, vol. 50, issue 2, 113-128

Abstract: Despite there being several estimates for famine-related deaths in the west of The Netherlands during the last stage of World War II, no such information exists for war-related excess mortality among the civilian population from other areas of the country. Previously unavailable data files from Statistics Netherlands allow researchers to estimate the number of war-related excess deaths during the last stage of the war in the whole country. This study uses a seasonal-adjusted mortality model combined with a difference-in-difference approach to estimate the number of excess deaths in the period between January 1944 and July 1945 at a total of close to 91,000 (75%) excess deaths. Almost half of all war-related excess mortality during the last year of the war occurred outside the west.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2017.1285260

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