Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527–1864

Nuno Palma, Jaime Reis and Mengtian Zhang

Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, 2020, vol. 53, issue 1, 11-27

Abstract: We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered.

Date: 2020
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Related works:
Working Paper: Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: the case of Portugal, 1527-1864 (2019)
Working Paper: Reconstruction of the Regional and National Population Using Intermittent Census-Type Data: The Case of Portugal, 1527-1864 (2019)
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DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1666762

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