Inflation and Finance-Growth Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa

Witness Bandura

Journal of African Business, 2022, vol. 23, issue 2, 422-434

Abstract: The study aims at determining the effect of inflation on finance-growth nexus on 23 Sub-Saharan Africa countries with 5-year averaged data set over the period 1982–2016. A non-dynamic threshold approach is utilized. Strong evidence of inflation threshold of 31% beyond which the impact of financial development on economic growth turns negative from positive is obtained. There is also inflation threshold of 13% obtained when financial development is represented by private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions (% of GDP) but with an even higher positive impact of financial development on economic growth beyond the identified inflation threshold. This supports the view that financial development can only become inversely related to growth at much higher-inflation level of above 31%, below which there is robust positive finance-growth nexus. It is, therefore, recommended to always keep inflation levels at lower levels, preferably below 31%, which would ensure sustainable development through financial development.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2020.1838837

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