Qishloq xo‘jaligi mahsulotlarini yetishtirish hajmini modellashtirish va prognozlashda ARIMA modelidan foydalanish imkoniyatlari

Toshbolta Kenjayev and Baxtiyor Turayev

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2024, vol. 2, issue 12

Abstract: Ushbu maqolada Surxondaryo viloyati qishloq xo‘jaligida sabzavot yetishtirishni prognozlashda ARIMA modelidan foydalanish imkoniyatlari tahlil etilgan. Vaqtli qator statsionarligi kengaytirilgan Dikkey-Fyuller testi yordamida tekshirilib, integratsiyalashgan avtoregressiya va sirg`aluvchi o‘rtacha modeli qurilgan. Natijada ARIMA(0,2,1) modeli ushbu turdagi modellarga qo‘yiladigan barcha talablarga javob berishi aniqlangan va modeldan foydalanib, 2029 yilgacha hudud qishloq xo‘jaligida sabzavot yetishtirish hajmi prognoz qilingan.

Keywords: qishloq xo‘jaligi; sabzavotchilik; vaqtli qatorlar; prognozlash; ARIMA modeli; kengaytirilgan Dikkey-Fyuller testi. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:2:y:2024:i:12:id:4749

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15161754

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