O‘ZBEKISTONDA SUVGA BO‘LGAN TALABNI VAQTLI QATORLAR ORQALI TAHLIL QILISH

Sarvar Mamasoliyev

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2025, vol. 3, issue 11

Abstract: Global darajada suv tanqisligi kuzatilayotgan bir davrda mamlakat iqtisodiyotida aholi salomatligi va oziqovqatxavfsizligini ta’minlovchi islohotlarni rejalashtirish uchun suvga bo‘lgan talabni prognoz qilish dolzarb masalahisoblanadi. Ushbu maqolada O‘zbekiston Respublikasida barcha tarmoqlardagi suv sarfi hajmi ekonometrik vaqtqatori tahlili orqali prognoz qilinadi. Eng maqbul model sifatida ARIMA(0,2,1) qabul qilindi. Natijalar shuni ko‘rsatdiki,respublikada 2030-yilga kelib aholi suv iste’moli hajmi 0,9 foizga kamayishi, qishloq xo‘jaligi suv iste’moli 1,2 foizga,sanoat suv iste’moli esa 4 foizga yetishi prognoz qilinmoqda.

Keywords: suv sarfi; ARIMA; ACF; PACF; anomaliya; suv menejmenti (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:3:y:2025:i:11:id:7680

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17551296

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