O‘zbekistonda valyuta kursini shakllanish holati prognozlari

Zuxriddin Samandarov

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2025, vol. 3, issue 7

Abstract: Ushbu maqolada O‘zbekistonda valyuta kursining shakllanishiga ta’sir etuvchi asosiy ichki va tashqi omillarhamda ularning o‘zaro bog‘liqligi ko‘p omilli ekonometrik model orqali tahlil qilingan. Inflyatsiya, real yalpi ichki mahsulot,qayta moliyalash stavkasi, tashqi savdo balansi va oltin-valyuta zaxiralarining dinamikasi asosida valyuta kursining prognozko‘rsatkichlari ishlab chiqilgan. Tadqiqot natijalari valyuta kursini barqarorlashtirishda Markaziy bankning moslashuvchanpul-kredit siyosati, iqtisodiy o‘sishni rag‘batlantirish va dollarlashuv darajasini kamaytirish muhim ahamiyat kasb etishiniko‘rsatdi. Model asosida 2025–2030-yillarga mo‘ljallangan prognozlar keltirilib, ularning iqtisodiy siyosatga ta’siri tahlilqilindi.

Keywords: valyuta kursi; inflyatsiya; real YAIM; qayta moliyalash stavkasi; tashqi savdo balansi; oltin-valyuta zaxiralari; ekonometrik model; prognozlash; O‘zbekiston; pul-kredit siyosati; dollarlashuv (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:3:y:2025:i:7:id:6341

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16037591

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