DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS OF UZBEKISTAN’S ACTIVE LABOR FORCE UNTIL 2030 AND THEIR ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS

Ganiev Bakhtiyor Zulfikor Ugli and Rakhmonov Bekzod Sharibjon Ugli

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2025, vol. 3

Abstract: In this article, the development trends and forecast indicators of the active labor force in the Republic ofUzbekistan for the period 2024–2030 are analyzed. The study evaluates the dynamics of changes in the active labor forcebased on three scenarios – optimistic, pessimistic, and baseline approaches. Using the actual indicators of 2024, thepotential scale of growth or decline in labor resources up to 2030 has been determined. The optimistic scenario suggestsa significant increase in the labor force, while the pessimistic scenario indicates only minimal growth. The baselineforecast reflects moderate growth rates. Based on these analyses, scientific conclusions have been drawn regardingensuring labor market stability, increasing employment levels, and effectively planning economic policy

Keywords: active labor force; labor market; forecasting; optimistic scenario; pessimistic scenario; baseline scenario; economic analysis; Uzbekistan. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:3:y:2025:id:7738

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17572496

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