O‘ZBEKISTON SANOATINI RIVOJLANTIRISHDA ENERGIYA TA’SIRINI QISQA VA UZOQ MUDDATLI BAHOLASH SAMARASI

Nurbek Jabbarov

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2026, vol. 4, issue 2

Abstract: Ushbu tadqiqotda iqtisodiy jarayonlarda qisqa va uzoq muddatli ta’sirlarni aniqlashda AutoregressiveDistributed Lag (ARDL) modelining samaradorligi tahlil qilindi. Tadqiqot doirasida ARDL modeli bilan bir qatorda VectorAutoregression (VAR), Johansen kointegratsiya testi hamda Granger sababiylik testi usullari metodologik taqqoslashasosida o‘rganildi. Olingan natijalar ARDL modelining kichik tanlanmalarda ham barqaror va ishonchli natijalar berishini,I(0) va I(1) darajadagi o‘zgaruvchilar bilan ishlash imkoniyatiga egaligini hamda qisqa va uzoq muddatli parametrlarni birvaqtning o‘zida aniqlash imkonini berishini ko‘rsatdi. Xususan, xatoliklarni tuzatish mexanizmi (ECM) orqali tizimning uzoqmuddatli muvozanatga qaytish tezligi baholandi

Keywords: ARDL; qisqa muddatli ta’sir; uzoq muddatli ta’sir; kointegratsiya; ECM; VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:2:id:9373

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18830788

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