QURILISH TASHKILOTLARI FAOLIYATINING MOLIYAVIY BARQARORLIGINI EKONOMETRIK MODELLAR ASOSIDA BAHOLASH

Qidirniyazov Ajiniyaz

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2026, vol. 4, issue 3

Abstract: Qoraqalpog‘iston Respublikasida kvartira(uy)lar sonini prognoz qilishda qurilish tashkilotlari faoliyatiningmoliyaviy barqarorligini baholash uchun trend va ARIMA (0,1,2) modellari qo‘llanildi. Trend modeli asosida 2028-yildakvartira(uy)lar soni 457 888 birlikka yetishi, o‘rtacha yillik o‘sish sur’ati 2,8 % ni tashkil qilishi kutilmoqda. ARIMA modelibo‘yicha prognozlar 451 589 birlikni ko‘rsatib, o‘sish sur’ati 2,5 % ni tashkil qiladi. Tahlil natijalari trend modeliningbarqarorligi va ishonchliligini ko‘rsatadi, ARIMA modelida esa keyingi yillarda standart xatolikning oshishi kuzatiladi.

Keywords: Qurilish tashkilotlari; moliyaviy barqarorlik; kvartira(uy)lar soni; trend modeli; ARIMA modeli; prognoz; Qoraqalpog‘iston. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:i:3:id:9455

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879005

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