TOMORQA XO‘JALIGI FAOLIYATIDAN KELADIGAN DAROMADLARNI IQTISODIY PROGNOZLASH

Ulugbek Nurullaev

GREEN ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT, 2026, vol. 4, 611-616

Abstract: Mazkur ilmiy tadqiqot ishida Samarqand viloyati statistika ma’lumotlari asosida viloyatda tomorqaxo‘jaliklari faoliyatining 2026–2032-yillar prognoz ko‘rsatkichlari ishlab chiqilgan. Prognoz ko‘rsatkichlarini ishlabchiqishda ARIMA modelidan foydalanilgan. Tahlil natijalariga ko‘ra, Samarqand viloyatida 2032-yilda 2025-yilganisbatan tomorqa xo‘jaliklari soni 97,3 mingga yoki 16,1 foizga oshishi va viloyatda o‘rtacha tomorqa yer maydoni0,3 sotixga yoki 6,4 foizga kamayishi ilmiy asoslangan. Olingan tahlil natijalari asosida tomorqa xo‘jaliklari faoliyatinirivojlantirish borasida ilmiy asoslangan takliflar ishlab chiqilgan

Keywords: tomorqa xo‘jaligi; AR; ARMA; ARIMA; ekin maydoni; Dickey–Fuller testi; oq shovqin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:teu:ged000:v:4:y:2026:id:12002

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22011616

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